Testing for normal dist with Kolmogorov-Smirnov
Kolmogorov-Smirnov test- are your returns normally distributed? Why? Value at risk, Modern portfolio theory, CAPM assume returns of assets are normally distributed
Get the percent daily returns X [0.2,0.1,0.3 …]
Sort the returns B = Sorted(X) = [0.1,0.2,0.3 …]
enumerate the returns C = Enum(B) = [1,2,3, …]
Divide C by len(X) D = [1/300,2/300,3/300 …] D is called empirical distribution
Get Mean and Standard deviation of returns (B or C) Using mean , get normal distribution of B E = [normDist(0.1, 0.15, 0.01), normDist(0.2, 0.15, 0.01) …] E is called theoretical distrbution
We plot 2 series, B vs D, B vs E
Get difference of D and E F = D - E
Get maximum of differences aka max(F) supremum = max(F)
How bad does normal distribution fit the data Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic = supremum * sqrt(len(X))
Critical value is 1%, if our Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic > 1, then our data is not normally distributed